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Arabica supply tightness widens the premium over Robusta

PRICE RISK

The ICO’s July 2026 Coffee Market Report shows the I-CIP averaging 287.26 US cents/lb, up 15.4% from June. Colombian Milds rose 18.1% to 383.39 cents/lb while Robustas rose 9.1% to 184.78 cents/lb. The New York–London arbitrage widened 36.4% to 137.61 cents/lb.

Atlas commercial interpretation

For buyers in Oman, Iran, the UAE and the wider GCC, Arabica and Robusta should now be budgeted and contracted as distinct risk pools. Recalculate landed-cost scenarios, confirm the physical differential and delivery window with each supplier, and avoid treating a lower Robusta benchmark as evidence that every blend or Arabica lot should be cheaper. The ICO indicators and futures references are market benchmarks, not physical coffee offers.

Official source: ICO Coffee Market Report — July 2026
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