The International Coffee Organization estimates world coffee production at 183.6 million 60-kg bags in coffee year 2025/26, up 4.4%. Within that total, Arabica output is projected to rise 2.8% to 104.4 million bags, while Robusta output is estimated to increase 6.5% to 79.2 million bags.
Read articleThe medium-term balance is improving, but the prompt physical market remains uneven. ICO projects a 3.0 million-bag global surplus for 2025/26, yet cumulative green-bean exports through July were still 0.4% lower year on year and certified Arabica stocks remained at a multi-decade low.
Read articleThe International Coffee Organization reports that global green-bean exports rose 6.3% year on year to 10.76 million 60-kg bags in July 2026. The increase was entirely driven by Robusta exports, which jumped 32.0% to 4.98 million bags, while total Arabica exports fell 8.9% to 5.78 million bags. Arabica’s share of cumulative green-bean exports in the first ten months of coffee year 2025/26 fell to 59.7%, from 63.6% a year earlier.
Read articleThe International Coffee Organization reports that Colombia exported 0.93 million 60-kg bags in July 2026, down 15.3% from 1.10 million bags in July 2025. The ICO links the decline to adverse weather during the first half of 2025, which disrupted flowering and cherry development, delayed the main 2025/26 harvest and reduced the subsequent Mitaca, or fly crop.
Read articleThe International Coffee Organization’s statistics update of 10 September estimates world coffee production at 183.6 million 60-kg bags in coffee year 2025/26, up 4.4%, while consumption is estimated to decline 0.8%. The resulting balance is a projected surplus of 3.0 million bags, following four consecutive deficit years from 2021/22 through 2024/25.
Read articleUSDA’s Jakarta office forecasts Indonesia’s green-bean production at 11.38 million 60-kg bags in 2026/27, down 8% year on year. The report attributes the decline mainly to excessive rainfall during flowering and fruit development in Robusta areas of southern Sumatra and Java, and projects green-bean exports at 7 million bags.
Read articleUganda’s Ministry of Agriculture, Animal Industry and Fisheries reports that the country exported 8.6 million 60-kg bags from June 2025 through May 2026, up from 7.4 million bags in the comparable previous period. Export earnings reached US$2.3 billion, an 11% increase, supported by higher volumes and sustained international demand.
Read articleCecafé reports that Brazil shipped 4.155 million 60-kg bags of all forms of coffee in August 2026, 31.0% more than a year earlier and the highest August volume on record. Arabica exports rose 25.7% to 2.866 million bags, while Conilon and Robusta shipments increased 53.6% to 953,592 bags.
Read articleThe International Coffee Organization reports that Viet Nam exported 2.40 million 60-kg bags of Robusta in July 2026, up 87.4% from 1.28 million bags in July 2025. Together with an 83.7% rise in Brazilian Robusta shipments, this helped lift global Robusta exports by 32.0% year on year to 4.98 million bags.
Read articleThis week’s evidence points to a divided market rather than a single direction. Near-term Arabica availability remains tight, while Robusta export flows and London-certified stocks are rebuilding. Weather expectations and Brazil’s crop commercialization can still reverse benchmark moves quickly.
Read articleThe International Coffee Organization reports that its Composite Indicator Price averaged 287.29 US cents/lb in August 2026, virtually unchanged from July’s 287.26. The monthly average concealed a mid-month rally supported by heightened El Niño concerns and tight near-term Arabica supplies, followed by a reversal as favourable Brazilian rainfall and improved supply expectations reduced upward pressure.
Read articleReuters reports that coffee traders are seeking to certify at least 300,000 bags of Brazilian Arabica for ICE warehouses ahead of the December contract. ICE-certified Arabica stocks have fallen below 220,000 bags, a 26-year low. More than 62,000 Brazilian bags had already reached exchange depots for grading, but it remains uncertain how many will pass certification.
Read articleThe European Commission confirms that coffee is covered by the EU Deforestation Regulation. Operators placing covered products on the EU market must show that they are not linked to recent deforestation or forest degradation. The rules apply to large and medium operators from 30 December 2026 and to micro and small operators from 30 June 2027.
Read articleThe ICO’s July 2026 Coffee Market Report shows the I-CIP averaging 287.26 US cents/lb, up 15.4% from June. Colombian Milds rose 18.1% to 383.39 cents/lb while Robustas rose 9.1% to 184.78 cents/lb. The New York–London arbitrage widened 36.4% to 137.61 cents/lb.
Read articleThe International Coffee Organization reports that world coffee exports reached 12.23 million 60-kg bags in July 2026, up from 11.84 million a year earlier. Total exports for the first ten months of coffee year 2025/26 remained almost unchanged at 118.39 million bags.
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